Poll: Clinton vs. Trump (vs. Johnson vs. Stein?)

Election Tracking Blog

Throughout 2016, pollsters have debated the best way to measure support for third party candidates.Some vote choice questions include Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein as explicit options, some do not, and often the results vary accordingly. Since June, the NBC News/SurveyMonkey election tracking polls have asked the vote choice question both ways, with and without Johnson and Stein.

Which version of the vote choice question provides the most accurate snapshot of the way votes would be cast if the election were actually held today? The answer is not as simple as it may seem.

The pollster’s dilemma

Gary Johnson and the Libertarian Party appeared on state ballots inall but two states in 2012, and Stein and the Green Party appeared on all but 12. They will likelygain access to at least as many state ballots this year, if not more. Without…

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