Posts Tagged ‘Undersampling Black Vote’

SeventhState – Questionable Sun Poll Gives Brown A 7 Point Lead Over Hogan – Sun Sampling Techniques Always Underestimate Black Voter Turnout In Maryland

October 13, 2014


The Baltimore Sun  reports that Anthony Brown leads Larry Hogan by 7 points with a Sunday front page headline  ” Brown Holds Tenuous Lead”. The Sunpaper polls are notorious for underestimating the black voter turnout in Maryland thus overestimating the Republican poll numbers. The Sun underlines the purpose of its questionable poll  with a lead editorial “Hogan Has A Shot”  Really? Like maybe a shot in the dark.. The Washington Posts more accurate polling sampling indicates that Brown is leading by 9 points and points out in its endorsement editorial that   ” Mr. Brown is the more serious and substantial candidate. He has a better grasp of how to operate the levers of government and how to bolster Marylands competitiveness while tending to basic needs””


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